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SA businesses are diversifying offshore to counter political risks: survey


Political risk in SA is worse today than three years ago under then-president Jacob Zuma, according to a poll of SA business people.

International diversification to hedge against local political risk is becoming the norm as a result.

Heightened fear of political risk is prompting SA businesspeople to look for an offshore hedge.

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This is according to the survey conducted among Sakeliga members and subscribers in August 2019, ahead of the business federation's upcoming tour to Europe.

Highlights from the poll include:

  • 84% of respondents consider current political risk in SA worse than three years ago

  • 25% of respondents have completed or begun to diversify operations internationally because of local political risk. Another 24% of respondents intend to diversify operations internationally within the next three years

  • 21% of respondents have completed or begun registering parts of their companies in foreign jurisdictions because of local political risk. Another 25% of respondents intend to do so within the next three years.

Piet le Roux, CEO of Sakeliga, says the internationalisation of SA businesses is, given the circumstances, to be welcomed: "Hedging against political risk in SA is eminently sensible."

"State-proofing" enables businesses to continue local operations and protects the economy against an intensifying political storm, he said. "Without it, the SA economy would be in much worse shape soon.

"While true that some businesses and executives are exiting SA altogether, we do not yet find evidence of a wholesale exodus. Rather, we see numerous signs of healthy strategic hedging against political risk," said Le Roux.

Le Roux said that, despite much hope, planning and rhetoric, the Cyril Ramaphosa presidency is not delivering the goods.

"The scoreboard says President Ramaphosa's term has seen increasing social instability, riots and disruptions, worsening business conditions, weakening property rights, doubling-down on race-discriminating policies such as black economic empowerment, continued fiscal profligacy, and any number of other harmful interventions.

"It comes therefore as no surprise that businesspeople are deciding to mitigate their exposure to political risk, rather than wait on unkept promises of better business conditions.

"Keeping an economy's engines of growth far away from the hands of politicians is not only good business, but most importantly a public service.

"As such, we welcome the increasing internationalisation of businesses in SA as something that improves local economic conditions, given the circumstances of political risk. No doubt, the trend will reverse once President Ramaphosa delivers on his promise of a new dawn. Until then businesses in SA are going to do the responsible thing by hedging themselves, their employees and their clients and customers against political risk."

The poll had 261 respondents.

Sakeliga's international tour from September 13-20 will see its representatives visit businesses, analysts, and organisations in several European cities including London, Antwerp, and The Hague, to identify opportunities for businesses operating from SA.



Disclaimer - The views expressed here are not necessarily those of the BEE CHAMBER

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